LOGISTICS LETTING MARKET INCREASED IN Q2
- The momentum on the logistics letting market increased noticeably in the second quarter, resulting in take-up of 2.9 million m² (including owner-occupiers) at the end of the first half of the year. As expected, the market was thus unable to match the previous year's brilliant result of 4.8 million m², which was mainly driven by the Tesla construction start in Grünheide near Berlin with 327,000 m². The ten-year average of around 3.2 million m² (-10 %) remains unattained for the moment as well.
- The ongoing phase of economic weakness is not leaving the logistics markets unscathed, which can be seen, for instance, in the reduced demand from retail companies. However, the core problem of the decline in take-up is clearly the prevailing lack of supply, which is underlined by the shares of logistics firms and manufacturing companies close to or even above the average.
- Due to a lack of alternative space or in order to save costs, many companies decide to take out lease options, i.e. lease extensions, instead of new rental space.
LACK OF SUPPLY LIMITS TAKE-UP IN CORE MARKETS
- Despite the recent market upturn, the half-year results in many regions not only remain behind the strong take-ups of the first half of 2022, but also miss the long-term average comparatively significantly in many markets.
- Positive exceptions are Leipzig with 185,000 m² (+37 % compared with the long-term average), Munich (169,000 m²; +43 %) and Düsseldorf (152,000 m²; +3 1%). The Hamburg market is currently on a par with Munich, but with take-up of 165,000 m² it cannot meet its own standards (-27% in a long-term comparison). Frankfurt (128,000 m²; -51 %), Berlin (125,000 m²; -48 %) and especially Cologne (55,000 m²; -48 %) follow at some distance. The Ruhr region, with 157,000 m², remains around 31 % below its average.
- Due to the lack of supply in the core markets, an increasing number of requests are being realised outside the top agglomerations. Accordingly, an above-average take-up of 766,000 m² is registered for these regions.